*Can the existence of evil make a perfectly good God mathematically improbable?*
Michael Tooley argues that plausible equiprobability principles can assign equal weight to a vast range of possible supernatural beings, dramatically reducing the probability that the being who exists is perfectly good.
0:00 Evidential Arguments from Evil
1:49 The Hypothesis of Indifference
3:56 An Infinity of Possible Beings
8:15 From Best Explanation to Equiprobability
15:12 The Million Marble Argument
19:01 Bayesian Probability and Equal Priors
*Michael Tooley* is Emeritus Distinguished Professor of Philosophy at the University of Colorado Boulder. He received a Boulder Faculty Assembly Excellence in Research Award in 1998 for his book _Time, Tense, and Causation,_ and is the author of the new book _Causation: A Defense of a Non-Reductionist Approach_ (Oxford, 2026).
*More from Michael Tooley on Closer To Truth:*
* Closer To Truth: The Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLFJr3pJl27pLLkP0kHQKL9nZh35UkgkR_
* The Case for Atheism – Closer To Truth – Core Topic: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLFJr3pJl27pJCNqQicnlwQvQtuKpYkLMj
* Closer To Truth contributors: https://closertotruth.com/contributor/michael-tooley/
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Closer To Truth, created and hosted by Robert Lawrence Kuhn, presents the world’s greatest thinkers exploring humanity’s deepest questions. Discover fundamental issues of existence and sentience. Engage new and diverse ways of thinking. Appreciate intense debates. Share your own opinions. Seek your own answers.
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